Posted by jonathlewis · 2026-09-26 19:37:38 UTC
The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.
What is the logic behind this AVAX long?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Clean retest, long AVAX 10.77, invalid 10.57." **Thesis:** "AVAX retesting key 10.77/10.84 flip, order blocks absorbed at 10.71/10.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
Today, $AVAX's retest at 10.77 is significant as it's the prior resistance turned support, a key price level for bulls to reclaim. Momentum catalyst comes from the cleaner Fibonacci extension retrace, along with a bullish engulfing candle on the 1hr chart, indicating strong absorption. 10.349 serves as our stop, below which invalidates our bias, while Target 1 sits at 11.401, aligning with the 261.8 Fib extension and a logical profit-taking area
Market context
What was true around AVAX when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 67% of 3 open AVAX calls from 3 traders were long.
3 graded calls, 0% closed above breakeven, mean -0.92R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 44 graded AVAX calls on TradeLiveX from 37 traders, 43% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.00R.
Discussion
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