Posted by chloe_brownb · 2026-09-16 18:41:18 UTC
Price reached the stop. The result is on the record like any other.
Outcome
Graded against Binance 5m klines (USDT pair).
A fill on this call took the candle open because price gapped through the level. The gap rule is symmetric: a favourable gap pays more than the target, and an adverse gap through the stop loses more than 1R.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this ETH short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Shoring ETH at 2404.19, Bollinger squeeze break down confirmed by juice, aiming for crunch at 2350.
Market context
What was true around ETH when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 40% of 5 open ETH calls from 5 traders were long.
1 graded calls, 0% closed above breakeven, mean -1.18R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 27 graded ETH calls on TradeLiveX from 23 traders, 41% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.03R.
Discussion (2)
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Invalidation not high enough, consider raising it above BTC's 5m MA.
solidar i see 76 but watch 78.5, if it breaks we're cooked
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