The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.
What is the logic behind this USDJPY short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
🛑$USDJPY at 157.548, short call.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
157.548 is a critical price level today, the 61.8% Fib retracement of this month's selloff, aligning with the 200-DMA and a key swing high. The V-shape recovery to here, accompanied by Williams %R (-46.5), signals exhaustion of buyers and a potential trend reversal. I'm shorting here, targeting 150.17 (next support level), with a hard stop at 162.47, invalidating the setup and confirming a structural breakout.
Market context
What was true around USDJPY when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 67% of 3 open USDJPY calls from 3 traders were long.
2 graded calls, 50% closed above breakeven, mean -0.36R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 18 graded USDJPY calls on TradeLiveX from 17 traders, 50% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.13R.
Discussion
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