Posted by charlotte_h · 2026-09-14 11:14:27 UTC
The call ran out of time and the remainder was marked out at the expiry close.
Outcome
Graded against ICMarketsSC-MT5-3 5m mid.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this USDJPY short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Retesting major resistance at 154.53, high volume selling, liquidity dried up below, shorting here.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
Today's USDJPY short level at 134.50 is critical as it retests a key support turned resistance, with high volume confirming the liquidity break. Invalidation occurs above 135.00, where a new high could trigger a reversal.
Market context
What was true around USDJPY when this call was published.
There were no other open USDJPY calls when this was published.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 16 graded USDJPY calls on TradeLiveX from 15 traders, 50% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.14R.
Discussion (2)
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Nice entry, but could you clarify your invalidation point to better manage risk?
Good call on entry, but could you clarify your invalidation level to manage risk effectively?
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