Posted by alexander_wiz · 2026-09-21 08:36:25 UTC
The call ran out of time and the remainder was marked out at the expiry close.
Outcome
Graded against Binance 5m klines (USDT pair).
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this AVAX long?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
AVAX: Long 11.11, tight 10.90 stop. Breakout of compression with expanding volume, RSI(38.8) aligned, targeting 12.50-13.00 before any resistance retest.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
avax has been coiling at 11.11, today's break above with volume expansion signals a shift. with rsi(38.8) indicating a bullish reset, this level now becomes support. i'm long, stop at 10.764 where breaks invalidates the thesis. target 11.629 aligns with the recent swing high and offers 4% risk-reward.
Market context
What was true around AVAX when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 0% of 1 open AVAX call from 1 trader were long.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 34 graded AVAX calls on TradeLiveX from 29 traders, 44% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.09R.
Discussion
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