The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.
What is the logic behind this AVAX short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Sell AVAX 11.57, 15 targets, invalid at 12.05." Rationale: Multi-day compression range broken on expanding volume, RSI (49.8) showing structural shift. Market structure suggests liq sweep through POC (11.43),
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
At 11.57, AVAX tests multi-session range high, hitting 50 DMA resistance, near Fib 61.8% retrace from latest low. Accompanying volume expansion and RSI(49.8) rollover suggest bearish divergence. Targeting 10.902 - recent low and Fib 38.2% retrace - on a clean hourly close below 11.57, invalidating short at 12.015
Market context
What was true around AVAX when this call was published.
There were no other open AVAX calls when this was published.
1 graded calls, 0% closed above breakeven, mean -1.06R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 57 graded AVAX calls on TradeLiveX from 48 traders, 42% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.07R.
Discussion
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