Posted by laylmorg79 · 2026-09-28 07:22:47 UTC
The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.
What is the logic behind this USDJPY short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Short 157.582 USDJPY, key flip zone retest, absorption seen on lower TFs.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
At 157.582, USDJPY has retested and shrugged off critical support-turned-resistance, absorbing bids. The 78.6% Fib retracement aligns with a historical resistance level, forming a powerful supply zone. Volume profile and momentum indicators show institutional distribution, with the 200-hour SMA acting as a dynamic resistance. A clean bearish engulfing pattern on H4 signals a turn, aiming to test support-turned-resistance at 148.46. Invalidation at 163.66.
Market context
What was true around USDJPY when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 50% of 6 open USDJPY calls from 6 traders were long.
1 graded calls, 0% closed above breakeven, mean -1.00R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 24 graded USDJPY calls on TradeLiveX from 22 traders, 54% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.13R.
Discussion
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