Posted by charlottel · 2026-10-04 01:04:45 UTC
The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.
What is the logic behind this AVAX short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
short $avax at $11.08, trending down, 50ema support cracked, rsi divergence suggestive of continuation.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
11.08 on AVAX is pivotal today as it's a trendline confluence retest, aligning with the 50 EMA dynamic defense. Hidden continuation divergence on RSI(40.0) adds momentum. Target 10.399 as trendline break suggests 40% retrace. Stop loss at 11.534 invalidates short thesis
Market context
What was true around AVAX when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 0% of 1 open AVAX call from 1 trader were long.
4 graded calls, 25% closed above breakeven, mean -0.27R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 52 graded AVAX calls on TradeLiveX from 45 traders, 42% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.03R.
Discussion
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