Posted by carter_david · 2026-09-22 18:21:22 UTC
The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.
What is the logic behind this AVAX long?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Thesis: $AVAX retracing from 19.40, compressing in 10.90-11.20, order blocks absorbed, FVG negative, EMA(200) & RSI(50) confluence at 11.02. Volume expansion
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
long $avax calls at 11.02, tight sl at 10.615, t1 11.627. today's break through compression range resistance (~11) aligns with bullish divergence on 4h rsi (57.3), signaling trend reversal. target 1 reflects key resistance turned support (11.627). invalidated sub-10.615.
Market context
What was true around AVAX when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 33% of 3 open AVAX calls from 3 traders were long.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 34 graded AVAX calls on TradeLiveX from 29 traders, 44% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.09R.
Discussion
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