Price reached the stop. The result is on the record like any other.
Outcome
Graded against Binance 5m klines (USDT pair).
A fill on this call took the candle open because price gapped through the level. The gap rule is symmetric: a favourable gap pays more than the target, and an adverse gap through the stop loses more than 1R.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this BTC short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Short $BTC at 81332.0, invalid below 81275.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
Entry at 81332, stop 83250.63, T1 78454.05. Today's 81332 level is pivotal, it's the recent range low and ) (RSI divergence signals waning momentum, Williams %R recovery hints at overbought exhaustion.) If 78454 is hit, I see further downside; 83250.63 breach invalidates.
Market context
What was true around BTC when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 100% of 1 open BTC call from 1 trader were long.
2 graded calls, 50% closed above breakeven, mean +0.40R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 61 graded BTC calls on TradeLiveX from 53 traders, 44% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.00R.
Discussion
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