Posted by hannah_l77 · 2026-09-14 11:23:26 UTC
The call ran out of time and the remainder was marked out at the expiry close.
Outcome
Graded against ICMarketsSC-MT5-3 5m mid.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this GBPJPY short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
GBPJPY retested 208.447, a prior resistance, on waning volume, inviting a short as price struggles to break higher.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
Today's GBPJPY short level at 147.50 is critical as it's a key resistance retest, where a previous high-volume liquidity sweep occurred. This level invalidates if price breaks above, confirming a trend reversal.
Market context
What was true around GBPJPY when this call was published.
There were no other open GBPJPY calls when this was published.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 1 graded GBPJPY call on TradeLiveX from 1 trader, 0% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.66R.
Discussion (2)
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Great level choice, but could you clarify your invalidation point for a more complete picture?
Good level pick, but could you clarify your invalidation point for better risk management?
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