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BTC▼ short4hlow conviction🔒 Locked at publish

Posted by b_baker · 2026-09-27 08:48:34 UTC

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The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.

✓ Timestamp recorded✓ Outcome checked— Identity verified— Broker-connected
Price against the levels5m candles
Entry 84,740.40Stop 86,796.90TP1 81,594.52TP2 79,513.5809-27 06:50 UTC09-27 10:20 UTC
Closes of the same stored candles the outcome was computed from, with the levels locked at publication. The shaded band is the distance to the stop — one R.
Levels — locked at publication
12
Entry
84,740.40
platform quote
Stop
86,796.90
−1.00R
TP1 · 63%
81,594.52
+1.53R
TP2 · 38%
79,513.58
+2.54R

What is the logic behind this BTC short?

Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.

Short @ 84715.95; Sweep invalidation @ 84857.99.

Thesis at publication

The longer case, also locked at publication.

At $84.7k, BTC hit my buy stop from yesterday's swing low sweep, retesting key support-turned-resistance. Williams %R (-55.2) suggests mean reversion post-overshoot. Target 1 at $81.6k aligns with previous range low, teasing a potential double top. Stop at $86.8k invalidates the short thesis, triggering a breach of the bullish trendline.

Market context

What was true around BTC when this call was published.

Price at post
84,740.40
last · Binance
Price nowlive
84,981.44
Move since post
+0.28%
In R terms
-0.12R
Relative to this call's own risk
Consensus when this was posted

Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 20% of 5 open BTC calls from 5 traders were long.

This trader's record at that moment

1 graded calls, 0% closed above breakeven, mean -1.00R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.

Across all 36 graded BTC calls on TradeLiveX from 29 traders, 47% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.04R.

Discussion

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TradeLiveX maintains a public, unalterable record of trade predictions across Crypto, Forex, and Stocks. Every call is locked at publish time with immutable entry, stop loss, and take-profit targets. Outcomes are algorithmically checked against independent market feeds with zero retroactive edits or survivorship bias.

TimestampRecorded at Publish
OutcomeLive Tracking
Risk:RewardPre-defined R Levels
ImmutabilityZero Post-Edits