The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.
What is the logic behind this USDCAD short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
short $usdcad 1.40621, buyers exhausted at extreme sd, fvg closure imminent.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
Buying a deep OTM $USDCAD 1.40621 put for 1.00 delta, targeting 1.39946, stop 1.41071. today's key support at 1.40621 holds historical importance as March 2020 low, invalidating on 1H close above 1.41071. Confluence is evident with daily trend, hourly momentum, and 4H Fair Value gap closing. Expecting mean reversion to retest daily trendline near 1.39946!
Market context
What was true around USDCAD when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 60% of 5 open USDCAD calls from 5 traders were long.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 18 graded USDCAD calls on TradeLiveX from 18 traders, 28% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.16R.
Discussion
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