Posted by caleb_mendoza · 2026-10-07 00:59:48 UTC
The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.
What is the logic behind this USDJPY short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Short on retest of 158.442, targeting 158.345, invalid at 158.478.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
Market structure on $USDJPY demonstrates clear absorption at the current inflection level (158.442). With technical indicators showing continuation divergence, we anticipate an asymmetric move into 149.63. Discipline remains paramount with immediate invalidation on a close past 164.32.
Market context
What was true around USDJPY when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 0% of 1 open USDJPY call from 1 trader were long.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 33 graded USDJPY calls on TradeLiveX from 31 traders, 55% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.10R.
Discussion
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