- Entry
- 1.11951
- Stop
- 1.12319
- TP1
- 1.11412
- TP2
- 1.11049
adamjohns
Amateur/Nerd. Deep interest in order book depth (DOM) and how it influences short-term volatility.
On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-14 · 9 calls published
Track record
Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
Where the record comes from
Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUDUSD | 2 | 50% | -0.04R |
| XRP | 2 | 0% | -0.66R |
| DOT | 2 | 50% | +0.08R |
| DOGE | 1 | 0% | -0.26R |
| ETH | 1 | 100% | +1.56R |
| EURUSD | 1 | 0% | -1.00R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 3 | 33% | -0.12R |
| 15m | 3 | 33% | -0.03R |
| 4h | 2 | 0% | -1.03R |
| 1d | 1 | 100% | +1.56R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| high | 3 | 33% | -0.03R |
| medium | 5 | 20% | -0.48R |
| low | 1 | 100% | +1.56R |
Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.
Every call
In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.
- Entry
- 2,581.90
- Stop
- 2,639.83
- TP1
- 2,491.28
- Conviction
- low
confluence of trendline retest at 2580.41 with 50ema acting as dynamic defense. rsi(46.8) hints at hidden divergence, suggesting momentum shift. short entry, sl at 2639.83 to preserve capital, targeting 2491.28 for a 3.8% gain.
- Entry
- 1.4893
- Stop
- 1.5500
- TP1
- 1.3980
- Conviction
- medium
short $xrp @1.4892: clean retest of flipped support, short-term bearish divergence, and funding in negative territory signal exhaustion. break below $1.489 validates further downside to $1.398. stop-loss tight at $1.55 to manage risk against unexpected upside.
- Entry
- 0.09647
- Stop
- 0.10000
- TP1
- 0.09120
- Conviction
- high
Doge's trendline confluence retest @ 0.09646 today, as price grazes 50EMA, with RSI(60.2) painting a hidden divergence. Shorting here capitalizes on momentum exhaustion, aiming to ride the continued downtrend to support @ 0.0912. Ghost through 0.1 to invalidate." (298 characters)
- Entry
- 1.168
- Stop
- 1.212
- TP1
- 1.107
- Conviction
- medium
- Entry
- 1.147
- Stop
- 1.110
- TP1
- 1.200
- Conviction
- high
Price action at 1.146 today is crucial - it's a liquidity node where a recent sweeping low met a vital moving average, aligning with Williams %R (-33.9) recovery. Expect a technical bounce to 1.2, with invalidation at 1.11.
- Entry
- 1.3075
- Stop
- 1.2618
- TP1
- 1.3763
- TP2
- 1.4221
- Entry
- 0.71327
- Stop
- 0.70470
- TP1
- 0.72610
- TP2
- 0.73470
- Entry
- 0.71292
- Stop
- 0.72150
- TP1
- 0.70000
- Conviction
- medium