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avale

Day trader reliant on news. Trades highly volatile stocks that are reacting to immediate corporate news.

On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-14 · 8 calls published

Building track record — 8/20
No composite score is shown until there is enough sample to mean anything.
Reputation 10 · 50 followers
✓ Timestamp recorded✓ Outcome checked— Identity verified— Broker-connected

Track record

Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.

Graded calls
8
Entered and run to a conclusion
Above breakeven
25%
2W / 6L / 0BE
Mean R
-0.24R
Not an account return
Median R
-0.44R
Half above, half below
Profit factor
0.53
Gross win R / gross loss R
Worst call
-1.01R
Cannot be hidden or deleted
Active days
6
Effective sample
8.0
After damping correlated calls
Never entered
0%
0 calls whose level never traded
Cancelled
0%
0 cancelled before entry
Ambiguous
0%
Bars containing both stop and target
Open now
0
Live calls

Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works

Where the record comes from

Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.

By instrument
 nWinMean R
ADA20%-1.00R
GBPUSD20%-0.37R
BTC1100%+1.49R
XRP10%-0.35R
DOGE10%-1.01R
DOT1100%+0.70R
By timeframe
 nWinMean R
1h333%+0.09R
4h30%-0.79R
15m250%+0.09R
By stated conviction
 nWinMean R
high10%-0.22R
medium333%-0.17R
low425%-0.29R

Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.

Every call

In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.

All calls →
DOT▼ short15m
+0.70RC
12
Entry
1.167
Stop
1.214
TP1
1.097
TP2
1.050

1.167 is today's line in the sand, where 200ma meets compression range lower bound, coinciding with a 300%+ volume spike. rsi at 53.9 signals a shift from oversold towards overbought. stop at 1.214 invalidates setup, target 1.097 captures expected bounce reversal.

DOGE▼ short4hgapped
-1.01RF
1
Entry
0.08230
Stop
0.08520
TP1
0.07800
Conviction
medium

entry 0.08232, short doge, stop 0.0852, t1 0.078. today's price matters as it aligns with recent high, offering strong resistance. confluence of volume expansion, rsi at 60, and breakout from compression range signals momentum shift. target 0.078, invalidation 0.0852 guards against false breakouts.

◆ -2,526🔥 2
See the full outcome →
XRP▼ short4h
-0.35RD
12
Entry
1.4899
Stop
1.5390
TP1
1.4170
TP2
1.3680

Short $XRP at 1.49, stop at 1.539, target 1.417. This level is a key trendline confluence retest, where the 200-day EMA intersects with the ascending trendline. Technicals show hidden RSI divergence, as price penetrates oversold territory while RSI maintains higher highs. This sets up a high-probability short, with the invalidation level at the previous swing high of 1.539.

◆ -1,762🔥 5
See the full outcome →