Semiconductor and AI hardware supply chain researcher. Tracking wafer fab equipment orders, GPU demand, and datacenter buildouts for thematic trades. Execution discipline is the only edge that lasts.
On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-15 · 1 call published
Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 1 | 0% | -0.76R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 1 | 0% | -0.76R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| low | 1 | 0% | -0.76R |
Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.
In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.
Targeting short at 2686.91 ETH, selling the breakout of multi-day compression with expanding volume and RSI at 58.9, indicative of structural shift. Key level today: April 12 high at 2689; tight SL at 2736.43 invalidates, aiming for 2612.63 where prior support meets fib. 618.