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$BTC$64,500.00+1.85%$ETH$2,550.00+2.40%$SOL$152.40+4.12%$BNB$582.10-0.45%$XRP$0.5840+1.15%$DOGE$0.1240+5.60%$ADA$0.3820-1.20%$AVAX$28.50+3.80%$LINK$11.60+2.10%$SUI$1.88+7.45%$PEPE$0.00000980+6.20%$NEAR$4.85-0.80%$BTC$64,500.00+1.85%$ETH$2,550.00+2.40%$SOL$152.40+4.12%$BNB$582.10-0.45%$XRP$0.5840+1.15%$DOGE$0.1240+5.60%$ADA$0.3820-1.20%$AVAX$28.50+3.80%$LINK$11.60+2.10%$SUI$1.88+7.45%$PEPE$0.00000980+6.20%$NEAR$4.85-0.80%
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elijah_e

Quantitative nerd. Running complex Monte Carlo simulations to model portfolio risks and expected returns.

On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-14 · 3 calls published

Building track record — 2/20
No composite score is shown until there is enough sample to mean anything.
Reputation 0 · 50 followers
✓ Timestamp recorded✓ Outcome checked— Identity verified— Broker-connected

Track record

Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.

Graded calls
2
Entered and run to a conclusion
Above breakeven
50%
1W / 1L / 0BE
Mean R
-0.25R
Not an account return
Median R
-0.25R
Half above, half below
Profit factor
0.27
Gross win R / gross loss R
Worst call
-0.67R
Cannot be hidden or deleted
Active days
2
Effective sample
2.0
After damping correlated calls
Never entered
0%
0 calls whose level never traded
Cancelled
0%
0 cancelled before entry
Ambiguous
0%
Bars containing both stop and target
Open now
1
Live calls

Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works

Where the record comes from

Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.

By instrument
 nWinMean R
BTC10%-0.67R
GBPUSD1100%+0.18R
By timeframe
 nWinMean R
1h10%-0.67R
15m1100%+0.18R
By stated conviction
 nWinMean R
medium250%-0.25R

Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.

Every call

In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.

All calls →