Nerdy quantitative trader. Currently obsessed with Hurst Exponent to determine if a time series is trending or mean-reverting.
On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-14 · 2 calls published
Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XRP | 1 | 100% | +1.32R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1 | 100% | +1.32R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| low | 1 | 100% | +1.32R |
Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.
In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.
entry 1.3493: today, $xrp broke above multi-session compression range, closing above key resistance at 1.349. high volume and rsi divergence (52.9) signal a shift in momentum, targeting 1.27. stop at 1.402 invalidates this short, maintaining a tight risk-reward ratio.