Swing trader. Analyzing consumer goods sector sales and identifying seasonal opportunities.
On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-14 · 8 calls published
Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DOGE | 2 | 0% | -1.02R |
| SOL | 1 | 100% | +1.48R |
| ADA | 1 | 0% | -1.04R |
| XRP | 1 | 0% | -1.00R |
| AVAX | 1 | 0% | -0.10R |
| USDCAD | 1 | 0% | -1.00R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 3 | 33% | -0.20R |
| 1d | 2 | 0% | -1.00R |
| 15m | 1 | 0% | -0.10R |
| 4h | 1 | 0% | -1.00R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| high | 2 | 0% | -1.02R |
| medium | 4 | 25% | -0.39R |
| low | 1 | 0% | -0.10R |
Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.
In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.
shorting usdcad at 1.42074, where price has been rejecting since mid-may. dynamic 20-ema aligns here, williams %r at -25.6 signals overbought. expecting re-test of supply block, with tight stop at 1.42521. target 1.41403, invalidation clear at 1.42521.
Leveraging today's intraday liq sweep below $10.22, POC reclaim signals institutional buying interest. Momentum shifts as AVAX recovers, Williams %R surpassing -20. Targeting $11.019, invalidation at $9.937, respecting value area high
jumping in long $xrp at 1.39, pivotal as it retakes 200dma and old range low. technicals align with williams %r rebound (-49.5), signaling exhaustion of sell-off. target 1.471, invalidation at 1.336 to manage risk below key support.
entered long doge at 0.09608. key level support held, rejecting bears at 0.09425, bulls reclaiming range. williams%r recovered from -38.9, momentum shifting up. targeting 0.1018 as prior resistance broke, invalidated at 0.0923.
Price action on $XAUUSD is establishing strong structural defense above key support near 4334.22. Multiple timeframe confluence indicates steady institutional absorption with momentum favoring short continuation toward 4274.96. A sustained candle close beyond 4373.73 cleanly invalidates this thesis.