Macro-oriented trader analyzing central bank interest rate decisions, global yield curves, and inflation prints. Focused on high-conviction index and FX positioning. Process over outcome every single day.
On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-15 · 1 call published
Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LINK | 1 | 100% | +0.36R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15m | 1 | 100% | +0.36R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| low | 1 | 100% | +0.36R |
Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.
In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.
at 14.224, we're hitting a trendline confluence retest, $link's found support here past 2 weeks. 50 ema's dynamic defense syncs with the level, while rsi's (57.4) hidden divergence hints at a potential reversal. our stop at 13.697 respects the recent lows, invalidating our thesis. target 1 is 15.015, aligned with the following resistance zone, for a 79 cent risk-reward.