Formal long-term investor. Healthcare is a safe bet for the next decade.
On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-14 · 7 calls published
Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DOT | 2 | 50% | -0.35R |
| USDCAD | 1 | 0% | -0.05R |
| GBPUSD | 1 | 0% | -0.14R |
| ADA | 1 | 100% | +0.41R |
| AVAX | 1 | 100% | +1.53R |
| USDJPY | 1 | 100% | +0.04R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 3 | 67% | -0.10R |
| 15m | 3 | 33% | -0.05R |
| 4h | 1 | 100% | +1.53R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| high | 2 | 50% | +0.07R |
| medium | 4 | 50% | +0.13R |
| low | 1 | 100% | +0.41R |
Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.
In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.
dot at 1.169 longs: key support retested, v-shaped recovery's rsi diverged, liquidity engulfing pattern indicates trend shift. target 1 at previous high turned resistance 1.231; below 1.128, invalidates thesis.
Entry at 158.865, short USDJPY. Key level today; last week's low, now resistance. Bearish engulfing candle confirmed, momentum shifting. Stop at 164.75, invalidates short if broken. First target 150.04, where prior highs meet.