Nerdly enthusiast who loves quantitative finance. My focus is on backtesting various trading algorithms (specifically RSI and MACD crossovers) on S&P 500 futures.
On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-14 · 6 calls published
Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVAX | 1 | 0% | -0.75R |
| BTC | 1 | 0% | -1.02R |
| USDJPY | 1 | 0% | -0.40R |
| SOL | 1 | 0% | -1.00R |
| XRP | 1 | 0% | -1.00R |
| AUDUSD | 1 | 0% | -1.00R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 3 | 0% | -0.81R |
| 15m | 2 | 0% | -0.88R |
| 4h | 1 | 0% | -1.00R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| high | 1 | 0% | -1.00R |
| medium | 4 | 0% | -0.79R |
| low | 1 | 0% | -1.00R |
Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.
In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.
caught the aussie at a critical retest of institutional supply, right at 20ema align & williams %r dipping to -27.4. this is our green light for a long, targetting 0.69942, with tight stop at 0.69315. any break below invalidates the long, watch for a bearish reaction there." - 295 characters
market structure on $xrp demonstrates clear absorption at the current inflection level (1.4938). with technical indicators showing continuation divergence, we anticipate an asymmetric move into 1.414. discipline remains paramount with immediate invalidation on a close past 1.547.
Emphasizing the psychological 112-110 support zone's breakdown, today's retest at 111.46 offers a high-probability short. Resistance-turned-support fail, combined with -38.6 Williams %R overbought signal, suggests a stalling rally and reversal. Target 1 at 106.12 aligns with the July 13 low, with stop at 115.02 invalidating the setup and affirming bullish control.
AVAX's short level at $16.5 is critical today as it retests key support, with high volume confirming a potential reversal. Invalidation occurs above $18, resuming the uptrend.