Conservative value investor following Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger principles. Hunting for businesses with wide economic moats trading at a margin of safety. Compounding capital steadily without uncalculated risks.
On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-15 · 1 call published
Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 1 | 0% | -0.93R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 1 | 0% | -0.93R |
| n | Win | Mean R | |
|---|---|---|---|
| medium | 1 | 0% | -0.93R |
Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.
In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.
$BTC at 85428.01, surging from consolidated range, finds resistance at Fib 38.2% retrace of recent downtrend. Volume expansion and RSI divergence suggest momentum reversal. Shorting here, targeting Fib 61.8% at 83036.56, invalidates at 87022.31, where structure turns bullish.