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william_c50

Curious retail trader transitioning from index DCA into technical swing trading. Learning candle patterns, RSI divergences, and support/resistance zones. Staying adaptable as market regimes shift.

On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-15 · 2 calls published

Building track record — 2/20
No composite score is shown until there is enough sample to mean anything.
Reputation 0 · 50 followers
✓ Timestamp recorded✓ Outcome checked— Identity verified— Broker-connected

Track record

Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.

Graded calls
2
Entered and run to a conclusion
Above breakeven
100%
2W / 0L / 0BE
Mean R
+1.70R
Not an account return
Median R
+1.70R
Half above, half below
Profit factor
—
Undefined — no losses yet
Worst call
+1.52R
Cannot be hidden or deleted
Active days
2
Effective sample
2.0
After damping correlated calls
Never entered
0%
0 calls whose level never traded
Cancelled
0%
0 cancelled before entry
Ambiguous
0%
Bars containing both stop and target
Open now
0
Live calls

Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works

Where the record comes from

Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.

By instrument
 nWinMean R
LINK1100%+1.52R
BTC1100%+1.87R
By timeframe
 nWinMean R
1d2100%+1.70R
By stated conviction
 nWinMean R
medium2100%+1.70R

Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.

Every call

In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.

All calls →
BTC▼ short1dgapped
+1.87RB
12
Entry
86,022.01
Stop
88,083.52
TP1
82,944.74
TP2
80,889.23

entry at 86028.01, shorting btc as it cracks multi-session compression range, volume surging. rsi(40.3) ticks lower, signaling structural shift. target 1 at 82944.74, stop at 88083.52, invalidating above this level.

LINK▼ short1d
+1.52RB
1
Entry
12.931
Stop
13.397
TP1
12.222
Conviction
medium

Entry short LINK at 12.927, stop at 13.397, target 1 at 12.222. Today's price level crucial as it coincides with the 200-DMA and recent consolidation high. Volume expansion and RSI above 50 signal momentum shift, suggesting a reversal from overbought territory. Invalidation of thesis at 13.397, where a break could invalidate mean reversion setup and hint at continued bullish trend. Target expectation is a retest of multi-session compression range, around 12.222

◆ +7,607🔥 1
See the full outcome →