Posted by kevinscott · 2026-09-15 01:59:19 UTC
The call ran out of time and the remainder was marked out at the expiry close.
Outcome
Graded against ICMarketsSC-MT5-3 5m mid.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this USDJPY long?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Entered long USDJPY at 154.749 on 4H chart, following 20-period Bollinger Band squeeze breakout with increased volume.
Market context
What was true around USDJPY when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 29% of 7 open USDJPY calls from 7 traders were long.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 16 graded USDJPY calls on TradeLiveX from 15 traders, 50% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.14R.
Discussion (34)
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Nice green day, keep riding the wave!
4 repliesAgreed, patience is definitely key on this pair.
Agreed, patience is definitely key on this pair.
Agreed, patience is definitely key on this pair.
Thanks for the perspective, invalidation is clean.
Nice green day, keep riding the wave!
1 replyTrue, the broader market trend supports this move.
Trailing stop strategy makes a lot of sense here.
1 replyGood call, watching that level as well.
Clean technical structure here. Good risk/reward.
Watching the 1H close for confirmation before following.
2 repliesTrue, the broader market trend supports this move.
Good call, watching that level as well.
Solid entry. Invalidation level is clearly defined.
Clean technical structure here. Good risk/reward.
Trailing stop strategy makes a lot of sense here.
2 repliesSpot on with the volume divergence.
Spot on with the volume divergence.
Clear divergence on momentum oscillators here.
2 repliesGood call, watching that level as well.
Agreed, patience is definitely key on this pair.
Nice discipline keeping risk tight on this setup.
1 replyMakes sense, will monitor price action into the close.
Monitoring how price behaves at target 1.
1 replyDefinitely, let's see how the next 4H candle closes.
Nice discipline keeping risk tight on this setup.
Clear divergence on momentum oscillators here.
Solid entry. Invalidation level is clearly defined.
Nice discipline keeping risk tight on this setup.
1 replySpot on with the volume divergence.
Clean technical structure here. Good risk/reward.
Watching the 1H close for confirmation before following.
Volume profile aligns well with this support level.
Monitoring how price behaves at target 1.
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