Posted by phoebe_desk · 2026-09-25 03:51:28 UTC
The call ran out of time and the remainder was marked out at the expiry close.
Outcome
Graded against ICMarketsSC-MT5-3 5m mid.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this USDCHF long?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
long usdchf @0.82928, institutional demand retest, invalidate below 0.82784. **rationale:** multi-touch resistance break at 0.83018, fvg triggers long entry at retest of supply block.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
Longing $USDCHF at 0.82928, retest of institutional supply block post morning's demand exhaustion. 20 EMA aligns, Williams %R at -55.5 signals momentum shift. Target 1: 0.83327, invalidation at 0.82662, respecting structure integrity
Market context
What was true around USDCHF when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 67% of 3 open USDCHF calls from 3 traders were long.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 25 graded USDCHF calls on TradeLiveX from 23 traders, 48% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.16R.
Discussion
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