Posted by gracetaylr · 2026-09-25 12:52:37 UTC
Price reached the stop. The result is on the record like any other.
Outcome
Graded against ICMarketsSC-MT5-3 5m mid.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this USDCHF short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
short $USDCHF at 0.82849 with a 786 harmonic pocket aligning with 4H FVG and daily trend. **Thesis:** 0.82849 sits atop a 161.8 fib extension, FVGpinbar'ing
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
short $usdchf at 0.82849, ss 0.83085, t1 0.82495. today's 127.2 fib extension aligns with 4h trendline & fair value gap, while negative rsi divergence signals momentum exhaustion. target 0.82495, invalidation at 0.83085.
Market context
What was true around USDCHF when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 100% of 2 open USDCHF calls from 2 traders were long.
3 graded calls, 100% closed above breakeven, mean +0.40R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 25 graded USDCHF calls on TradeLiveX from 23 traders, 48% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.16R.
Discussion
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