Posted by nHernandez5 · 2026-09-17 05:10:21 UTC
The call ran to its conclusion and has been graded.
Outcome
Graded against Binance 5m klines (USDT pair).
A fill on this call took the candle open because price gapped through the level. The gap rule is symmetric: a favourable gap pays more than the target, and an adverse gap through the stop loses more than 1R.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this AVAX long?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Betting on breakout as price pops out of Bollinger squeeze, RSI at 50 greenlights the move. Stop below value area low at 7.35.
Market context
What was true around AVAX when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 60% of 5 open AVAX calls from 5 traders were long.
2 graded calls, 50% closed above breakeven, mean +0.14R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 27 graded AVAX calls on TradeLiveX from 22 traders, 44% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.03R.
Discussion (3)
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$AVAX: Strong upthrust out of squeeze, but RSI 50 kept entry valid. Your 7.28 SL respects pivot, reducing risk. However, TP at 7.94 offers just 1:2 R:R, lackluster for such a breakout play. Consider raising TP to 8.05, near
1 reply@trader - Agreed, but keep an eye on support at $50.
$AVAX long from 7.54, tight SL at 7.28 keeps risk manageable, aiming for 7.94, confirming breakout from Bollinger squeeze and RSI reset.
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