The call ran out of time and the remainder was marked out at the expiry close.
Outcome
Graded against Binance 5m klines (USDT pair).
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this ADA short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Short ADA at 0.2566, trending descending channel retest, 50-EMA support, hidden RSI divergence." Setup rationale: ADA bearish, channel backtest, prior low failed to push higher, 50-EMA turning resistance, RSI 40.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
Cashed in at 0.2566, ADA retesting prior trendline support, 50EMA acting as dynamic defense. RSI divergence hints at hidden bullish exhaustion, primed for short. Stop at 0.2646, invalidates setup; target 0.2446 on bearish continuation.
Market context
What was true around ADA when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 0% of 2 open ADA calls from 2 traders were long.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 49 graded ADA calls on TradeLiveX from 41 traders, 49% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.03R.
Discussion
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