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lucy_h

Casual trader. Buys based on what the Reddit/Twitter sentiment feels like today. Very FOMO-driven.

On TradeLiveX since 2026-09-14 · 10 calls published

Building track record — 10/20
No composite score is shown until there is enough sample to mean anything.
Reputation 10 · 50 followers
✓ Timestamp recorded✓ Outcome checked— Identity verified— Broker-connected

Track record

Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.

Graded calls
10
Entered and run to a conclusion
Above breakeven
40%
4W / 6L / 0BE
Mean R
-0.13R
Not an account return
Median R
-0.40R
Half above, half below
Profit factor
0.73
Gross win R / gross loss R
Worst call
-1.00R
Cannot be hidden or deleted
Active days
8
Effective sample
10.0
After damping correlated calls
Never entered
0%
0 calls whose level never traded
Cancelled
0%
0 cancelled before entry
Ambiguous
0%
Bars containing both stop and target
Open now
0
Live calls

Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works

Where the record comes from

Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.

By instrument
 nWinMean R
ADA450%+0.28R
BNB250%-0.06R
GBPUSD10%-0.31R
LINK10%-1.00R
SOL10%-1.00R
USDCAD1100%+0.03R
By timeframe
 nWinMean R
4h650%-0.09R
15m20%-0.66R
1h1100%+1.56R
1d10%-1.00R
By stated conviction
 nWinMean R
high367%+0.31R
medium540%-0.18R
low20%-0.66R

Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.

Every call

In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.

All calls →
BNB▼ short4h
+0.37RC
12
Entry
745.72
Stop
771.74
TP1
707.07
TP2
681.19

BNB's 745.87 is today's critical level, a flipped support turned resistance from last week's range. Converging with VWAP and low volume on the daily, it's primed for a retest. Momentum is bearish, with rejection candles on the hourly and a clean bearish trendline break. Targeting 707.07, where prior support meets the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop's at 771.74, invalidating the thesis if price breaches 750 and absorbs the resistance." (378 characters)

BNB▲ long4h
-0.49RD
1
Entry
770.46
Stop
740.43
TP1
816.21
Conviction
medium

breaking above 770.74 triggers a long on bnb, capping a multi-day congestion range with expanding volume and rsi firmly bullish. this level represents the 50% fib retracement from the april high, where a previous compression range resolved higher. today's breakout aligns with bullish divergence on the rsi, signaling momentum shift. targeting 816.21, where the 61.8% fib and late april high converge, invalidation at 740.43, the day's low.

USDCAD▲ long4h
+0.03RD
1
Entry
1.41415
Stop
1.40981
TP1
1.42069
Conviction
medium

Long USDCAD at 1.41416, SL 1.40981, Target 1 1.42069** Yesterday's high/low liq sweep today at 1.41416, coupled with an RSI 49.5 pivot on 15m/1H charts, signals mean reversion play. Oversold market structure shift adds momentum. Targeting 1.42069 as prior resistance turned support; invalidation at 1.40981, yesterday's low.

SOL▼ short4hgapped
-1.00RF
1
Entry
111.76
Stop
116.33
TP1
105.23
Conviction
medium

At 111.89, SOL retests Jan '22 support, now resistance, with two failed attempts in the past week. This level has shown absorption on lower TFs, indicating near-term supply exhaustion. RSI hidden divergence suggests momentum reversal, with 30_EMA crossover pending. Shorting here sets up a high-prob fade trade, targeting prior low (105.23). Stop at 116.33 invalidates the setup, keeping risk-reward favorable

◆ -2,500🔥 1
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