The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.
What is the logic behind this SOL short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
SOL's clean retest at flipped support, coupled with absorption & RSI divergence, sets up a high-prob short." Thesis: "SOL's sharp rally prior halted at a flipped $112 resistance, its previous support, signaling a potential reversal. Lower timeframes reveal absorption, with bids drying
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
At 111.89, SOL retests Jan '22 support, now resistance, with two failed attempts in the past week. This level has shown absorption on lower TFs, indicating near-term supply exhaustion. RSI hidden divergence suggests momentum reversal, with 30_EMA crossover pending. Shorting here sets up a high-prob fade trade, targeting prior low (105.23). Stop at 116.33 invalidates the setup, keeping risk-reward favorable
Market context
What was true around SOL when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 50% of 2 open SOL calls from 2 traders were long.
4 graded calls, 50% closed above breakeven, mean +0.45R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 24 graded SOL calls on TradeLiveX from 21 traders, 46% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.01R.
Discussion
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