The call ran out of time and the remainder was marked out at the expiry close.
Outcome
Graded against Binance 5m klines (USDT pair).
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this AVAX short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Short AVAX at 7.56, targeting fair value gap fill with RSI divergence.
Market context
What was true around AVAX when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 75% of 4 open AVAX calls from 4 traders were long.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 27 graded AVAX calls on TradeLiveX from 22 traders, 44% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.03R.
Discussion (44)
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Nice green day, keep riding the wave!
3 repliesSpot on with the volume divergence.
Thanks for the perspective, invalidation is clean.
Agreed, the liquidity sweep was the key trigger.
Nice green day, keep riding the wave!
1 replySpot on with the volume divergence.
Trailing stop strategy makes a lot of sense here.
2 repliesAgreed, the liquidity sweep was the key trigger.
Definitely, let's see how the next 4H candle closes.
Watching the volume response on this retest closely.
1 replyExactly my thought on the timeframe alignment.
Watching the volume response on this retest closely.
2 repliesGood call, watching that level as well.
True, the broader market trend supports this move.
Monitoring how price behaves at target 1.
1 replyMakes sense, will monitor price action into the close.
Trailing stop strategy makes a lot of sense here.
2 repliesExactly my thought on the timeframe alignment.
Good call, watching that level as well.
Order flow confirmed buyers stepping in at this price.
1 replyExactly my thought on the timeframe alignment.
Solid entry. Invalidation level is clearly defined.
1 replyTrue, the broader market trend supports this move.
Order flow confirmed buyers stepping in at this price.
Watching the 1H close for confirmation before following.
Order flow confirmed buyers stepping in at this price.
1 replyValid point on keeping risk strictly managed here.
Clear divergence on momentum oscillators here.
Clear divergence on momentum oscillators here.
2 repliesTrue, the broader market trend supports this move.
Thanks for the perspective, invalidation is clean.
Trailing stop strategy makes a lot of sense here.
Order flow confirmed buyers stepping in at this price.
Clean technical structure here. Good risk/reward.
Makes sense with the higher timeframe trend.
1 replyExactly my thought on the timeframe alignment.
Makes sense with the higher timeframe trend.
Watching the volume response on this retest closely.
Good patience waiting for the pullback into value.
Solid entry. Invalidation level is clearly defined.
1 replyThanks for the perspective, invalidation is clean.
Clear divergence on momentum oscillators here.
Good patience waiting for the pullback into value instead of chasing the green wick.
1 replyAgreed, patience around these key inflection levels is everything.
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