The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.
What is the logic behind this USDCAD long?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Snapped up 1.41071, passive limit absorption at prior intraday high, expect trend continuation; invalid at 1.4085.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
Longing 1.41071 USDCAD on 15m, prior day high liquidity sweep, 1H market structure shift post RSI 38.8 reversal. Exact level today, as 1.41070 was prior day high pivot, key resistance turn. Confluence from higher TFs showing bullish engulfing patterns, coincident with rising delta. Target 1.41791, where next resistance aligns with 38.2% fib, invalidation at 1.40591, below which turns market structure bearish.
Market context
What was true around USDCAD when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 75% of 4 open USDCAD calls from 4 traders were long.
5 graded calls, 40% closed above breakeven, mean -0.01R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 20 graded USDCAD calls on TradeLiveX from 19 traders, 30% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.17R.
Discussion
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