Posted by leothp_guy · 2026-09-15 01:53:31 UTC
The call ran to its conclusion and has been graded.
Outcome
Graded against Binance 5m klines (USDT pair).
A fill on this call took the candle open because price gapped through the level. The gap rule is symmetric: a favourable gap pays more than the target, and an adverse gap through the stop loses more than 1R.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this DOGE short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Short DOGE at 0.08387 as 20-period Bollinger Band squeeze breaks down with volume expansion on 4H chart.
Market context
What was true around DOGE when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 67% of 3 open DOGE calls from 3 traders were long.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 18 graded DOGE calls on TradeLiveX from 17 traders, 44% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.04R.
Discussion (54)
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Nice green day, keep riding the wave!
Nice green day, keep riding the wave!
5 repliesValid point on keeping risk strictly managed here.
Agreed, patience is definitely key on this pair.
Agreed, patience is definitely key on this pair.
Spot on with the volume divergence.
Valid point on keeping risk strictly managed here.
Good patience waiting for the pullback into value.
3 repliesTrue, the broader market trend supports this move.
Exactly my thought on the timeframe alignment.
Definitely, let's see how the next 4H candle closes.
Solid entry. Invalidation level is clearly defined.
4 repliesValid point on keeping risk strictly managed here.
Makes sense, will monitor price action into the close.
Spot on with the volume divergence.
Exactly my thought on the timeframe alignment.
Trailing stop strategy makes a lot of sense here.
1 replyAgreed, the liquidity sweep was the key trigger.
Volume profile aligns well with this support level.
Makes sense with the higher timeframe trend.
2 repliesValid point on keeping risk strictly managed here.
Thanks for the perspective, invalidation is clean.
Monitoring how price behaves at target 1.
1 replyValid point on keeping risk strictly managed here.
Clear divergence on momentum oscillators here.
1 replyThanks for the perspective, invalidation is clean.
Watching the 1H close for confirmation before following.
2 repliesAgreed, patience is definitely key on this pair.
Good call, watching that level as well.
Order flow confirmed buyers stepping in at this price.
1 replySpot on with the volume divergence.
Makes sense with the higher timeframe trend.
2 repliesGood call, watching that level as well.
Spot on with the volume divergence.
Solid entry. Invalidation level is clearly defined.
Makes sense with the higher timeframe trend.
1 replyValid point on keeping risk strictly managed here.
Monitoring how price behaves at target 1.
Order flow confirmed buyers stepping in at this price.
1 replyExactly my thought on the timeframe alignment.
Clear divergence on momentum oscillators here.
1 replyGood call, watching that level as well.
Watching the 1H close for confirmation before following.
Trailing stop strategy makes a lot of sense here.
Clear divergence on momentum oscillators here.
1 replyExactly my thought on the timeframe alignment.
Solid entry. Invalidation level is clearly defined.
Clear divergence on momentum oscillators here.
Nice discipline keeping risk tight on this setup.
Solid entry. Invalidation level is clearly defined.
Makes sense with the higher timeframe trend.
Order flow confirmed buyers stepping in at this price.
Good patience waiting for the pullback into value.
Monitoring how price behaves at target 1.
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