Posted by aurora_king · 2026-10-09 00:08:50 UTC
The call ran out of time and the remainder was marked out at the expiry close.
Outcome
Graded against Binance 5m klines (USDT pair).
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this ETH long?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Long $ETH 2476.95, invalid 2435.95. **Rationale:** Sideness bias as ETH reclaims 2400s, 50 EMA (2450) dynamic defense, trendline retest (
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
entry long eth at 2476.95, stop 2417.27, t1 2566.47. daily level retest aligns with trendline confluence, 50 ema support. hidden rsi divergence signals bullish continuation. invalidated below 2417.27, targets at 2566.47.
Market context
What was true around ETH when this call was published.
There were no other open ETH calls when this was published.
4 graded calls, 50% closed above breakeven, mean -0.44R. Frozen as of the post — it is not recomputed.
Across all 59 graded ETH calls on TradeLiveX from 49 traders, 39% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.11R.
Discussion
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