Posted by collins_ian · 2026-09-24 23:01:46 UTC
The entry filled and the call is being tracked candle by candle.
What is the logic behind this USDCAD short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
$USDCAD short from 1.41425, 4H FVG at 1.41200, daily trend support at 1.40800.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
Snapping 4H's Fair Value Gap at 1.41425, this level's resistance from prior candles' wicks and highs. Momentum's trend continuation from daily charts aligns with our short bias. Targeting 1.40816, prior lows and 38.2% fib retracement. Invalidation at 1.41831, recent swing high and 4H candle's body.
Market context
What was true around USDCAD when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 100% of 4 open USDCAD calls from 4 traders were long.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 23 graded USDCAD calls on TradeLiveX from 22 traders, 35% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.11R.
Discussion
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