Posted by kevinscott · 2026-09-15 01:39:29 UTC
The call ran out of time and the remainder was marked out at the expiry close.
Outcome
Graded against ICMarketsSC-MT5-3 5m mid.
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this USDJPY short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Short USDJPY at 154.751, testing key horizontal resistance with waning sell-side momentum.
Market context
What was true around USDJPY when this call was published.
Among active calls posted on TradeLiveX at that moment, 33% of 6 open USDJPY calls from 6 traders were long.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 16 graded USDJPY calls on TradeLiveX from 15 traders, 50% closed above breakeven with a mean of +0.14R.
Discussion (26)
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Nice green day, keep riding the wave!
3 repliesDefinitely, let's see how the next 4H candle closes.
Thanks for the perspective, invalidation is clean.
Valid point on keeping risk strictly managed here.
Nice green candle on BTC, keep riding the wave!
1 replySpot on with the volume divergence.
Volume profile aligns well with this support level.
1 replyThanks for the perspective, invalidation is clean.
Monitoring how price behaves at target 1.
1 replyMakes sense, will monitor price action into the close.
Good patience waiting for the pullback into value.
1 replyAgreed, patience is definitely key on this pair.
Watching the 1H close for confirmation before following.
3 repliesAgreed, the liquidity sweep was the key trigger.
Definitely, let's see how the next 4H candle closes.
Agreed, patience is definitely key on this pair.
Order flow confirmed buyers stepping in at this price.
1 replyValid point on keeping risk strictly managed here.
Clean technical structure here. Good risk/reward.
Watching the volume response on this retest closely.
Trailing stop strategy makes a lot of sense here.
Trailing stop strategy makes a lot of sense here.
Nice discipline keeping risk tight on this setup.
Order flow confirmed buyers stepping in at this price.
Watching the volume response on this retest closely.
Order flow confirmed buyers stepping in at this price.
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